Carlo Moretti

I track the robotics and AI markets

Follow me to know where capital is flowing, and the US, Europe and China are approaching these markets.

signal · strategy · deployment
// Capital Map

Robotics innovation is global. Capital is concentrated.

Start-ups emerge across every region. But funding pools around a few ecosystems.

North America
Start-ups38%
Funding57%
Avg funding$22.5M
Europe
Start-ups20%
Funding10%
Avg funding$7.6M
Asia
Start-ups38%
Funding32%
Avg funding$12.4M
Africa
Start-ups0.41%
Funding0.01%
Avg funding$57.9K
Central-South America
Start-ups0.8%
Funding0.01%
Avg funding$112.5K
Oceania
Start-ups1.6%
Funding0.08%
Avg funding$749K

Where companies are founded and where they can scale are often two different maps.

North America captures funding disproportionately.
Asia matches North America in company creation.
Europe creates companies, but underfunds scale.
// The lens

What I track

I operate inside robotics and AI markets. This is the framework I use to read where value is forming — and where it isn't.

Capital Allocation

Where funding is concentrating, which segments are attracting real deployment capital, and what the capital structure reveals about market conviction.

Deployment Velocity

Who is actually deploying at scale, where unit economics are proving out, and which companies are pulling ahead on execution — not just fundraising.

Margin Architecture

How software is absorbing value from hardware, where margin capture is shifting, and what that means for the next generation of robotics businesses.

Global Power Dynamics

How the US, Europe, and China are diverging on industrial AI strategy — and where speed, policy, and cost structures create structural advantages.

// Global Positioning

Scale compounds faster than most markets can react.

Annual installations show who is accelerating. Operational stock shows who already scaled.

Country
Yearly (k)
Stock (k)
China
295k
2.0M
Japan
44.5k
450.5k
United States
34.2k
393.7k
Rep. of Korea
30.6k
391.9k
Germany
27k
278.9k
Italy
8.8k
101.2k
Taiwan
5.8k
91.9k
Mexico
5.6k
59.3k
India
9.1k
52.6k
Source: IFR World Robotics 2024
Dominance

China = 54% of annual global installations

Installed Base

2M+ robots already deployed in China

The leaders are no longer separated by products. They are separated by installed base.

// VC Signals

Where robotics capital is actually going.

Funding is not evenly distributed across robot types, software layers, or geographies.

The next winners may not be the most visible categories — but the ones building durable software leverage.

Robot categories by funding

Humanoid
$2.388B
AMR
$1.262B
Traditional Robotic Manipulator
$933.5M
Mobile Manipulator
$376.5M
Cobot
$265.6M
Modular Robot
$213.8M
Robot Components
$137.7M
AWV
$133.4M
Exoskeleton
$45.4M
Quadruped
$4.9M

Humanoids lead narratives. AMRs remain commercially real.

Robot categories by geography

AMR
AWV
Cobot
Exoskeleton
Humanoid
Mobile Manipulator
Modular Robot
Quadruped
Robot Components
Trad. Robotic Manipulator
North America
Asia
Europe
Central-South America
Africa
Oceania

AMRs and manipulators show the broadest global spread.

Source: Osservatorio Innovative Robotics, Politecnico di Milano.

01

Capital overweights narratives before proven scale.

02

Geography still shapes who can commercialize faster.

03

Software may absorb value from hardware over time.

// Why now

The market is becoming more asymmetric every quarter.

Deployment is creating structural barriers that fundraising alone can't cross. Software is absorbing margins faster than most hardware companies can adapt. China is compressing unit economics in ways that reshape competitive floors globally.

Europe risks lagging on speed. The US is consolidating around a handful of platform plays. The winners aren't just building products — they're shaping the floor of the market.

What you gain

Understand which companies are deploying — not just fundraising
Track where margins are shifting from hardware to software
See how US, European, and Chinese strategies are diverging
Identify structural barriers before they become consensus
// Market Trajectory

Global robot installations have already scaled.

Over 500,000 industrial robots are installed every year worldwide.

Annual installations (thousands)2004006008002019202020212022202320242025202620272028FORECAST BOUNDARY+7% CAGRCompounding deployment curve575k → baseline708k projected

Source: IFR World Robotics · Projections based on +7% CAGR

Carlo Moretti
// The analyst

I attend international robotics and AI forums across the US, Europe, and China — where deal flow and deployment data get discussed before they hit the press. Atlantico Brief is where I share what I see.